Week #2 of the government shutdown is almost complete, and there has been an overwhelming reporting of poll numbers and what it means. One of the more recent polls, one done by NBC and The Wall Street Journal, appears to show that public opinion is that the GOP is more responsible for the shutdown but both parties are liable.
The Republican Party has been badly damaged in the ongoing government shutdown and debt limit standoff, with a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finding that a majority of Americans blame the GOP for the shutdown, and with the party’s popularity declining to its lowest level.
By a 22-point margin (53 percent to 31 percent), the public blames the Republican Party more for the shutdown than President Barack Obama – a wider margin of blame for the GOP than the party received during the poll during the last shutdown in 1995-96.
Personally, I don’t give much credence to polls like these. As a matter of fact, many people have heard me say that there are only two kinds of polls that matter:
That’s just how I see it. Asking someone a poll question about politics is about as useful as standing at the beach during a Category 5 hurricane and hoping to stay dry, especially considering this poll is being conducted more than a year before the next election. Minds can and probably will change several times before then.
As proof of the total useless nature of polls, compare and contrast these two bits of information.
Gallup currently shows Congress with an 11% favorability rating. Since 2004, that rating has not been north of 40% with it currently at its lowest point. However, at the same time,
Congress has a historical reelection rate of around 85%.
So, how can a governing body have more people disapproving of its performance, yet most everyone gets their job back if they run again? That’s why polls are useless and poles are much better overall in the grand scheme of life.
- NBC/WSJ poll: Shutdown debate damages GOP – First Read (firstread.nbcnews.com)
- Most Americans Blame GOP for Shutdown: Poll (hispanicbusiness.com)
- The Republicans’ worst poll yet (washingtonpost.com)
- NBC/WSJ poll: 60 percent say fire every member of Congress (ampoch.wordpress.com)
- World Pole Dance – Sport Fitness (worldpoledance.com)